การสำรวจ ของ การเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีสหรัฐในรัฐเพนซิลเวเนีย พ.ศ. 2563

การสรุปโดยกราฟ

การสำรวจโดยรวม

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joe
Biden

Democratic

Donald
Trump

Republican

Other/
Undecided
[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
270 to WinOctober 22 – November 2, 2020November 3, 202049.4%45.7%4.9%Biden +3.7
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 29–November 2, 2020November 3, 202048.7%47.5%3.8%Biden +1.2
FiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202050.2%45.6%4.2%Biden +4.6
Average49.4%46.3%4.3%Biden +3.1

แบบสำรวจ

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican

Joe
Biden

Democratic

Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian

Howie
Hawkins

Green

OtherUndecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.Nov 1–2499 (LV)± 4.3%49%[lower-alpha 3]48%1%-0%[lower-alpha 4]0%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen ReportsOct 31 – Nov 1800 (LV)± 3.5%47%[lower-alpha 5]50%--1%[lower-alpha 6]
Research Co.Oct 31 – Nov 1450 (LV)± 4.6%46%52%--2%[lower-alpha 7]4%
AYTM/AspirationOct 30 – Nov 1340 (LV)49%51%--
Change Research/CNBCOct 29 – Nov 1699 (LV)± 3.71%46%50%2%-2%
Marist College/NBCOct 29 – Nov 1772 (LV)± 4.4%46%51%--1%2%
Monmouth UniversityOct 28 – Nov 1502(RV)± 4.4%45%50%1%-0%[lower-alpha 8]4%
502 (LV)44%[lower-alpha 9]51%--
45%[lower-alpha 10]50%--
SwayableOct 27 – Nov 11,107 (LV)± 3.9%48%50%2%-
Data for ProgressOct 27 – Nov 11,417 (LV)± 2.6%45%52%2%0%0%[lower-alpha 11]
Ipsos/ReutersOct 27 – Nov 1673 (LV)± 4.3%45%[lower-alpha 12]51%1%1%2%[lower-alpha 13]
44%[lower-alpha 14]51%--3%[lower-alpha 15]2%
46%[lower-alpha 16]52%--2%[lower-alpha 17]
TrafalgarOct 30–311,062 (LV)± 2.93%48%46%2%-1%[lower-alpha 18]4%
Frederick Polls/Compete Everywhere[upper-alpha 1]Oct 30–31879 (LV)± 3%48%52%--
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 2]Oct 30–31500 (LV)± 4.4%48.7%47.4%1.3%-2.6%
Siena College/NYT UpshotOct 26–311,862 (LV)± 2.4%43%49%2%-0%[lower-alpha 19]5%[lower-alpha 20]
Morning ConsultOct 22–312,686 (LV)± 2%43%52%--
Emerson CollegeOct 29–30823 (LV)± 3.3%47%[lower-alpha 21]52%--2%[lower-alpha 22]
AtlasIntelOct 29–30672 (LV)± 4%50%49%--2%
Targoz Market Research/PollSmartOct 25–30998 (LV)42%56%--2%[lower-alpha 23]
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[upper-alpha 3]Oct 28–291,012 (V)45%52%--3%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 26–292,125 (LV)45%50%1%-1%3%
Harvard-Harris/The HillOct 26–29901 (LV)46%51%--3%
ABC/Washington PostOct 24–29824 (LV)± 4%44%51%3%-0%[lower-alpha 24]1%
Muhlenberg College/Morning CallOct 23–28419 (LV)± 5.5%44%49%--4%[lower-alpha 25]2%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–2810,599 (LV)± 1.5%46%52%---
RMG Research/PoliticalIQOct 25–27800 (LV)± 3.5%45%[lower-alpha 12]51%--2%2%
44%[lower-alpha 26]52%--2%2%
47%[lower-alpha 27]49%--2%2%
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 23–271,324 (LV)± 2.7%44%51%--1%[lower-alpha 28]4%
SwayableOct 23–26491 (LV)± 6%46%52%2%-
Civiqs/Daily KosOct 23–261,145 (LV)± 3%45%52%--2%[lower-alpha 29]1%
Ipsos/ReutersOct 20–26655 (LV)± 4.4%44%[lower-alpha 12]51%3%0%1%[lower-alpha 30]
45%[lower-alpha 31]50%--3%[lower-alpha 32]2%
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 2]Oct 25400 (LV)± 4.9%48.5%45.5%3.3%-2.8%
Trafalgar GroupOct 24–251,076 (LV)± 2.91%48%48%2%-1%[lower-alpha 33]1%
Wick SurveysOct 24–251,000 (LV)± 3.1%49%47%--
Franklin & Marshall CollegeOct 19–25558 (LV)± 5%44%50%2%-1%[lower-alpha 34]3%
Univision/University of Houston/Latino
Decisions/North Star Opinion Research
Oct 17–25723 (RV)± 3.64%45%50%--3%[lower-alpha 35]2%
Gravis MarketingOct 23602 (LV)± 4%44%51%--5%
Public Policy Polling/American Bridge PAC[upper-alpha 4]Oct 21–22980 (V)46%51%--4%
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsOct 17–211,577 (A)3%46%52%--2%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-MadisonOct 13–21669 (LV)± 4.45%44%52%--3%[lower-alpha 36]
Citizen DataOct 17–201,000 (LV)± 3.1%39%44%9%0%1%7%
CNN/SSRSOct 15–20843 (LV)± 4%43%53%2%-1%[lower-alpha 37]1%
Muhlenberg College/Morning CallOct 13–20416 (LV)± 5.5%44%51%--2%[lower-alpha 38]4%
Morning ConsultOct 11–202,563 (LV)± 1.9%43%52%--
Fox NewsOct 18–191,045 (LV)± 3%45%50%1%-1%[lower-alpha 39]2%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen ReportsOct 18–19800 (LV)± 3.5%47%50%--2%[lower-alpha 40]3%
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 16–191,241 (LV)± 2.8%43%51%--1%[lower-alpha 41]5%
Change Research/CNBCOct 16–19574 (LV)[lower-alpha 42]47%49%--
Suffolk University/USA TodayOct 15–19500 (LV)± 4.4%42%49%1%-4%[lower-alpha 43]4%
Ipsos/ReutersOct 13–19653 (LV)± 4.4%45%[lower-alpha 12]49%2%0%3%[lower-alpha 44]
45%[lower-alpha 45]49%--3%[lower-alpha 46]4%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Oct 13–151,041 (LV)± 2.96%46%48%3%-2%[lower-alpha 47]2%
HarrisX/The HillOct 12–151,289 (LV)46%51%--
Insider Advantage/Center for American Greatness[upper-alpha 2]Oct 12–13400 (LV)± 4.9%43%46%2%-9%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 10–131,289 (LV)43%[lower-alpha 42]51%1%0%
Trafalgar GroupOct 10–121,034 (LV)± 2.97%45%47%3%-3%[lower-alpha 48]2%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQOct 7–12800 (LV)43%[lower-alpha 12]49%1%1%6%
42%[lower-alpha 49]50%1%1%6%
45%[lower-alpha 50]47%1%1%6%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 6]Oct 8–11600 (LV)± 4.2%45%52%--2%[lower-alpha 51]1%
Ipsos/ReutersOct 6–11622 (LV)± 4.5%45%[lower-alpha 12]51%1%0%2%[lower-alpha 52]
44%[lower-alpha 53]51%--1%[lower-alpha 54]4%
Morning ConsultOct 2–112,610 (LV)± 1.9%44%52%--
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 9–101,145 (LV)44%[lower-alpha 42]49%1%-
Whitman Insight StrategiesOct 5–9517 (LV)± 4.3%46%51%--1%[lower-alpha 55]3%
Baldwin Wallace UniversitySep 30 – Oct 81,140 (LV)± 3.1%45%50%1%0%0%[lower-alpha 56]4%
YouGov/CCESSep 29 – Oct 72,703 (LV)44%52%--
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesOct 4–6927 (LV)± 3.22%42%49%1%-1%[lower-alpha 57]7%
Emerson CollegeOct 4–5688 (LV)± 3.7%47%[lower-alpha 58]51%--2%[lower-alpha 59]
Quinnipiac UniversityOct 1–51,211 (LV)± 2.8%41%54%--1%[lower-alpha 60]3%
Ipsos/ReutersSep 29 – Oct 5605 (LV)± 4.5%45%50%--2%[lower-alpha 61]3%
Change Research/CNBCOct 2–4468 (LV)46%50%--
Monmouth UniversitySep 30 – Oct 4500 (RV)± 4.4%42%54%1%-0%[lower-alpha 62]2%
500 (LV)43%[lower-alpha 63]54%--
45%[lower-alpha 64]53%--
YouGov/CBSSep 30 – Oct 21,287 (LV)± 3.2%44%51%--2%[lower-alpha 65]5%
Siena College/NYT UpshotSep 30 – Oct 2706 (LV)± 4.1%42%49%3%-0%[lower-alpha 66]5%[lower-alpha 67]
SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–304,613 (LV)46%52%--2%
ABC News/Washington PostSep 21–26567 (LV)± 5.0%45%54%--0%[lower-alpha 68]1%
Siena College/NYT UpshotSep 25–27711 (LV)± 4.3%40%49%2%-0%[lower-alpha 69]8%[lower-alpha 70]
TIPP/The FederalistSep 24–26774 (LV)± 3.6%45%50%--1%[lower-alpha 71]4%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSep 23–251,015 (LV)± 3.08%44%50%0%1%[lower-alpha 72]5%
Fox NewsSep 20–23856 (LV)± 3%44%51%2%1%[lower-alpha 73]2%
910 (RV)± 3%43%51%2%2%[lower-alpha 74]3%
Baldwin Wallace UniversitySep 9–221,012 (LV)± 3.6%45%47%2%0%1%[lower-alpha 75]5%
Trafalgar Group/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Sep 18–211,006 (LV)± 2.99%46%48%1%1%2%[lower-alpha 76]2%
YouGov/UW-Madison Elections Research
Center/Wisconsin State Journal
Sep 10–21642 (LV)45%49%--
Change Research/CNBCSep 18–20579 (LV)45%49%--
Franklin & Marshall CollegeSep 14–20480 (LV)± 7.8%42%48%--
Hart Research Associates/Human Rights Campaign[upper-alpha 7]Sep 17–19400 (LV)± 4.9%42%53%--
CPEC[upper-alpha 8]Sep 15–17830 (LV)± 2.3%45%50%--1%[lower-alpha 77]4%
Trafalgar Group (R)Sep 15–171,006 (LV)± 2.99%45%47%2%1%2%[lower-alpha 78]2%
Ipsos/ReutersSep 11–16611 (LV)± 4.5%46%49%--2%[lower-alpha 79]4%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 6]Sep 11–15704 (RV)± 4.4%45%52%--1%[lower-alpha 80]2%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSep 12–141,036 (LV)± 3.04%44%49%1%1%0%[lower-alpha 81]5%
Climate NexusSep 8–11659 (RV)± 4%43%48%--3%[lower-alpha 82]6%
Benenson Strategy Group/GS Strategy Group/AARPAug 28 – Sep 81,600 (LV)± 2.5%46%49%--1%[lower-alpha 83]4%
Marist College/NBC NewsAug 31 – Sep 7771 (LV)± 4.4%44%53%--1%2%
Morning ConsultAug 29 – Sep 72,227 (LV)± (2%-4%)45%[lower-alpha 84]50%--
Change Research/CNBCSep 4–6829 (LV)46%50%--4%[lower-alpha 85]
TargetSmartSep 3–6835 (LV)± 3.4%44%51%--3%3%
Susquehanna Polling & Research Inc.Aug 26 – Sep 4498 (LV)± 4.3%42%44%--6%[lower-alpha 86]7%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAug 30 – Sep 31,053 (LV)± 3.02%43%48%1%1%1%[lower-alpha 87]7%
QuinnipiacAug 28 – Sep 11,235 (LV)± 3%44%52%--1%[lower-alpha 88]3%
ALG Research/Progressive Policy Institute[upper-alpha 9]Aug 26 – Sep 1500 (LV)44%50%--
Monmouth UniversityAug 28–31400 (RV)± 4.9%45%49%2%0%1%[lower-alpha 89]4%
400 (LV)46%[lower-alpha 90]49%--2%3%
47%[lower-alpha 91]48%--2%3%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Aug 26–31600 (LV)45%51%--4%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–313,531 (LV)45%53%--2%
Morning ConsultAug 21–302,158 (LV)± (2%–4%)45%49%--
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen ReportsAug 25–271,000 (LV)± 3%48%[lower-alpha 92]48%--4%[lower-alpha 93]
GQR Research/Unite the Country PAC[upper-alpha 10]Aug 20–24971 (LV)± 4.4%43%52%--5%
Franklin & Marshall CollegeAug 17–24681 (RV)± 5.2%42%[lower-alpha 94]50%--3%[lower-alpha 95]7%
Change Research/CNBCAug 21–23984 (LV)46%49%--
Global Strategy Group/Climate Power 2020
/League of Conservation Voters/Sierra Club
[upper-alpha 11]
Aug 13–19801 (RV)± 3.5%42%[lower-alpha 12]50%2%1%5%
43%[lower-alpha 96]53%--4%
Redfield and Wilton StrategiesAug 16–171,006 (LV)± 3.1%41%48%1%1%1%[lower-alpha 97]8%
Civiqs/Rust Belt Rising[upper-alpha 6]Aug 13–17617 (RV)44%51%--3%[lower-alpha 98]1%
Muhlenberg College/Morning CallAug 11–17416 (LV)± 5.5%45%49%--3%[lower-alpha 99]3%
Morning ConsultAug 7–161,777 (LV)± (2%–4%)44%50%--
Emerson CollegeAug 8–10843 (LV)± 3.8%47%[lower-alpha 100]53%--
Change Research/CNBCAug 7–9456 (RV)44%48%--
YouGov/CBSAug 4–71,211 (LV)± 3.7%43%49%--3%[lower-alpha 101]5%
OnMessage Inc./Heritage Action[upper-alpha 12]Aug 2–4400 (LV)± 4.7%46%50%--4%
YouGov/University of Wisconsin-MadisonJul 27 – Aug 6742 (RV)± 4.9%41%50%--2%[lower-alpha 102]5%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–314,208 (LV)48%50%--2%
Change Research/CNBCJul 24–26382 (LV)46%48%--
Franklin & Marshall CollegeJul 20–26667 (RV)± 5.5%41%50%--2%[lower-alpha 103]6%
Morning ConsultJul 17–262,092 (LV)± 2.1%42%50%--
Gravis MarketingJul 22–241,006 (RV)± 3.1%45%48%--8%
Zogby AnalyticsJul 21–23809 (RV)± 3.4%43%44%4%2%-8%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Jul 17–22600 (LV)45%51%--5%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJul 19–211,016 (LV)41%48%1%0%2%[lower-alpha 104]8%
Fox NewsJul 18–20793 (RV)± 3.5%39%50%--5%[lower-alpha 105]6%
Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports/American Greatness PAC[upper-alpha 2]Jul 15–16750 (LV)± 4%46%51%--2%[lower-alpha 106]1%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 13]Jul 11–16700 (LV)± 3.7%48%47%--5%
Monmouth UniversityJul 9–13401 (RV)± 4.9%40%53%--3%[lower-alpha 107]4%
401 (LV)42%[lower-alpha 108]52%--3%3%
44%[lower-alpha 109]51%--2%3%
Change Research/CNBCJul 10–12743 (LV)42%50%--
Trafalgar GroupJun 29 – Jul 21,062 (LV)± 2.92%43%48%--6%[lower-alpha 110]3%
SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–302,184 (LV)48%50%--2%
Change Research/CNBCJun 26–28760 (LV)[lower-alpha 42]44%50%--
Susquehanna Polling/Fox 43Jun 15–23715 (LV)41%46%--5%8%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJun 14–161,125 (LV)± 2.92%39%49%1%1%1%[lower-alpha 111]9%
Siena College/NYT UpshotJun 8–16651 (RV)± 4.2%40%50%--3%[lower-alpha 112]6%
Change Research/CNBCJun 12–14491 (LV)[lower-alpha 42]46%49%--3%[lower-alpha 113]
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Jun 8–11600 (LV)± 4.0%42%54%--4%
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsJun 6–111,221 (A)3.6%46%49%--5%
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsMay 30 – Jun 22,045 (A)2.4%46%49%--5%
Change Research/CNBCMay 29–31579 (LV)[lower-alpha 42]50%46%--2%2%
Morning ConsultMay 17–262,120 (LV)44%[lower-alpha 42]48%--
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesMay 10–14963 (LV)± 3.2%39%48%--2%[lower-alpha 114]11%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]May 9–13600 (LV)± 3.0%51%46%--4%
Harper Polling (R)Apr 21–26644 (LV)± 3.9%43%49%--8%
Public Policy Polling[upper-alpha 14]Apr 20–211,251 (RV)44%51%--5%
Fox NewsApr 18–21803 (RV)± 3.5 %42%50%--
IpsosApr 15–20578 (RV)± 5.0%40%46%--
Suquehanna Research/Fox 43Apr 14–20693 (LV)42%48%--
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Apr 16–18600 (RV)± 3.0%47%47%--6%
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsApr 4–81,912 (A)2.5%47%47%--6%
Baldwin Wallace University Great LakesMar 17–25973 (RV)± 3.9%47%45%--9%
Change ResearchMar 21–23510 (LV)50%47%--4%
Hodas & Associates/Restoration PAC[upper-alpha 5]Mar 19–21600 (RV)47%45%--
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsMar 14–181,589 (A)2.7%48%46%--6%
YouGov/Yahoo NewsMar 6–8725 (RV)40%46%--5%[lower-alpha 115]8%
Firehouse Strategies/ØptimusMar 5–7533 (RV)± 5.3 %45%44%--
Civiqs/Dan HopkinsFeb 27 – Mar 32,462 (A)2.2%48%46%--7%
Muhlenberg College/Morning CallFeb 12–20424 (RV)± 5.5%47%47%--2%4%
YouGovFeb 11–201,171 (RV)± 4.0 %45%46%--
Quinnipiac UniversityFeb 12–18849 (RV)± 3.4 %42%50%--6%[lower-alpha 116]3%
Expedition Strategies/Progressive Policies InstituteFeb 6–18500 (RV)42%47%--11%


แหล่งที่มา

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